The question isn’t how to get rid of Trump; it’s how to get rid of what caused him

New York Times op-ed today asks: Why Don’t We Know Which Democratic Candidate Can Beat Trump? This is not the question to ask. We need systemic change not just a regime change. The question that will get us on track isn’t how to get rid of Trump — which is a band aid until the next Trump in 2024 — but how to get rid of the factors that caused him? From the broken electoral process down to social issues, Trump is the symptom not the cause. The factors that caused him all very much remain. So the next president not only has to move us forward but undo so much that set us back AND address long term solutions at its core which still exist and have worsened.

In terms of political strategy: yes ask how to beat Trump because it’s a numbers game in terms of electoral votes; factors like districting and voter suppression affects numbers, which is why they’re partisan issues; how many people come out to vote etc.

In terms of us: NO. Worry about doing your part. For us, go out and vote for the person you most believe in. Trust me: it’s worse out there than you can think. Much worse. So why am I filled with optimism and continue working for pennies on this? Because the numbers are on our side—if we show up. You just have to show up and urge others to do the same. From the local on up.

Right now, droves of Republican voters are turning out for Trump. Why? “The massive turnout is a reflection of organic enthusiasm among conservatives and a sophisticated effort by Trump’s campaign to rev up its get-out-the-vote machine ahead of the general election. Read: support, enthusiasm, and showing up to vote.

Get rid of this “electability” illness. This “electability” situation is often predicated on what the polls say. “I want to vote for her but I don’t think she can win” is a cop-out and misinformed. The numbers we often hear in relation to “electability” are polls. Who conducted them using how many people in which region at which time asking which questions in a pool from which demographic? No idea, right? Thus: Not to be trusted much less go on as to who to vote for. Even Gallup has been wrong more times than right. JUST DO YOUR PART.

Independents: pick a side. The non-Trump base also suffers from “the independent.” Are you an independent as in Switzerland, who wants everyone’s money and stands for nothing yet has no skin in the game? Because that is not an independent. Or are you an independent in that you don’t want to affiliate with one party but have values you believe in and a candidate who most reflects you and your self-interests? That means: put your teeth into it.

There’s a lot at stake. There’s a sickness caused by our systems. It’s why crimes are now daily committed in our face and nothing is done about it. It’s why we even got to 2016. There is an economic injustice that is suffocating us, and most felt by communities of color and women across the board. Travel around to random counties and you will see. Hell, travel to San Francisco and step over tents of homeless on your way to the $9 coffee. Bernie and Warren get it to the core. As much as we all want to say vote any Dem, yes of course but not any Dem will get to the root problems.

Most people I’ve met live paycheck to paycheck. One diagnosis or accident away from losing it all. No way of coping, no support, no time to get informed as to how to deal with mental issues or whatnot. Fox is their only news. I don’t judge because many factors led up to their lives just as many have led to mine and we each are blinded by our own biases.

Most of all, It breaks my heart because my child will have so much access to basics that their children will not; access to support and healthcare and all of that which enables us to be thoughtful or generous instead of living with constant stress and trauma and fear. What a tragic loss of potential. It’s our loss as much as theirs. You cannot see it if you’re too busy living it.

Yet that’s also where they fight the most. And yes sometimes that fight is for Trump. Who else listened for decades. And like it or not, blame this or that but know this: We will not have any progress on any climate or social justice issue if their desperation is not tended to.

Voting in a Dem is one step in a long haul ahead. No one who benefits from systems—and that includes me and many of my social circle—are afraid of change. It will be a fight even from “good” folks. And def from the power structure. Grand plans will be meted out by legislation and fought in the Supreme Court. We’ll need 8-12 years to see any of it through.

So yes whatever: vote any Dem but know there are only two who get it and will do their level best to fix it at its core. And for me only one with the plans and ability to see a good chunk of it through: Elizabeth Warren.

It’s because I’ve met with so much anger and sadness and desperation I’m so invested in her winning. She not only gets it like Bernie but I’ve seen it. She connects. She can unite. Those qualities can not be underestimated.

Why Elizabeth Warren should be President

Why Elizabeth Warren is our best choice for President

Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders may share similar visions of progressive policies but ultimately record, history, political alliances, strategy, skill at navigating legislation and judicial branches are on the side of Warren. She has fought for the working class her entire professional life and as a Senator with agencies, laws, and policies that prove she can bring visions into reality. That’s why she’s the only candidate Wall Street, Silicon Valley tech giants, and mega-corporations who pay $1 in taxes fear.

This country needs structural change. It’s not enough to talk big, you have to actually know the structure. What is the new business plan? No social justice platform can be implemented if the majority of people are struggling to provide for their families.

No one knows it better than a tax and debt lawyer and professor. Warren has plans that appeal to working-class who haven’t had a raise that outstrips inflation in 30 years. She has plans for healthcare, childcare, Medicare, and college debt that has put a stranglehold on the middle and working class.

She has the temperament to guide the country out of years of turmoil while keeping a strong hand to ensure the corruption doesn’t go unanswered to restore faith and eliminate the cynicism and normalization that’s settled in.

She is of our times. She has the endorsements and support of our times from the most powerful and vocal groups of their communities: African American civil rights leaders, Black Women caucus, the LGBTQI community, Latinas especially in relationship to immigration rights, unions, reproductive rights organizations who are thrilled a candidate says “abortion,” even parent organizations are thrilled due to her childcare policies. They all endorse her because her views and platforms are intersectional and comprehensive — and they trust she can get policies through.

Bottom line: she has the plans and experience for sure but as important, she inspires trust, exudes warmth, speaks to women, immigrants, and the working-class and upper middle class with the same confidence-inspiring charisma.

RESTORE TRUST

In order to transform a nation, similar qualities appear time and again. Franklin Delano Roosevelt, for example, needed a vision with plans such as The New Deal, but also had to have the ability to execute, and alliances, political know-how, and a fighting spirit to battle it out whether it was a contentious Congress or Supreme Court. To do any of this you have to be able to foster trust in the government and governance.

Warren can do that better than any candidate because her entire professional life has been about anti-corruption and fighting for the working class, starting with forming the Consumer Protection Agency to combat the rampant housing mortgage corruption and recession of 2008 — that she had predicted as a professor in 2004.

HEAL

Our nation is again in great turmoil: impeachment, almost daily news of corruption, human rights crises, rampant racism and hate crimes, weekly mass shootings, greater and greater economic insecurity. You must inspire unity and hope in a country battling intense strife. In these times, that is no easy task.

While Bernie Sanders may share some of this vision, he has yet to state how he can do it. He doesn’t have the political base to get it through legislation or navigate a conservative Supreme Court nor the alliances in Congress.

Elizabeth Warren can do it. Vision, policy understanding, political strategy, communication and negotiation skills, all describe a leader like Warren who has the temperament and ability to have a vision and execute it while being able to inspire the public to both heal and forge ahead. We need the temperament of a leader who can heal after these four turbulent years.

“It’s the economies, stupid”

We need a systemic change to address the growing income — and thus education gap. Yes, racism and sexism were at play in 2016 but that doesn’t discount that there is a lot of unrest in impoverished and languishing cities and towns with growing numbers of unemployed or barely surviving families juggling 2 or 3 jobs that foster the worst in people and draws them to candidates who use emotions and false hope to gain support.

As this article on why Warren will win states:

Polls show Warren’s message that the economic system is rigged against ordinary people — and her willingness to unapologetically call for fundamental structural changes in the rules of the economic game — are very attractive to the working-class. Voters don’t want continuity or stability, they want change.

Who better than someone who knows just how to do it because she’s studied tax structure, communicated complex plans in simple terms for the public, and implemented into policies and laws.

Warren continues that fight. Her plans and visions are not socialist by far; they are those of most economists. For one, there is no singular economy in this country. The rural poor and urban poor have different reasons and solutions. And the economy is not booming contrary to Trump.

  • Since the crash of 2008, 75 percent of new jobs pay less than $50,000 a year, and a large percentage barely pay above minimum wage.
  • Eighty-five percent of post-recession income growth has occurred among the top 1 percent of earners.
  • The richest 10 percent of Americans own 84 percent of stocks. Barring a crash, which would reverberate throughout the entire country, the daily rise and fall of Wall Street has no effect on most Americans.
  • The unemployment rate may be at a historic low, but it does not take into account the millions of laborers who are “underemployed” — working part-time hours when they are in desperate need of full-time, salaried work or the “gig” economy where professionals, like teachers, have to take on night shifts as car drivers.

This doesn’t just create stress, it creates fractured families. With rising costs of childcare, who watches the kids as parents must take on second shifts? Where does the health insurance come from in a gig economy?

Millionaires and billionaires, like Jamie Dimon, the CEO of JPMorgan Chase who had to pay a fine for their hand in the housing crisis of 2008, Leon Cooperman, a billionaire hedge fund manager; and Microsoft founder Bill Gates all cry about Warren and that should make you suspect. Trump told his friends at Mar-a-Lago after signing a massive tax cut, “You all just got a lot richer.” Why are they crying when in January 2020, most Americans cannot afford a home and are one illness away from bankruptcy?

The public is not just overworked and underpaid but stressed and that means less innovation and more trauma, the kind that stunts national growth and leads to greater societal problems like crime. Jobs are not just about GDP. It’s about a public engaged in work that has a sense of purpose and provides the basics to their families.

Warren understands that deep need and has been a champion for the working and middle class from the start. So much so that as a professor setting up a federal regulatory agency, Warren fought with then-President Obama on his choice for Secretary of Treasury Timothy Geithner and National Economic Council Director Larry Summers.

“It is impossible to buy a toaster that has a one-in-five chance of bursting into flames and burning down your house. But it is possible to refinance an existing home with a mortgage that has the same one-in-five chance of putting the family out on the street.” (Elizabeth Warren, “Unsafe at Any Rate,” 2007, predicting the housing crisis)

“I believe the recovery should have been from the ground up, and people with Geithner’s and Summers’ background would never see the world that way,” she said in an interview with Politico, because above all else she wanted the public to be protected.

In 2007, she predicted the housing crisis. In 2006, when the economy was booming and she was studying consumer debt as a Harvard law professor., she observed, “The great American middle class is fighting a battle for survival — and losing.” And in 2004, in a NOW interview, she predicted the recession of 2008. Each time, she had solutions alongside her simple explanation of complex economic issues.

When she was finally heard by the President, she did in one administration what takes politicians generations: she formed the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and she did it her way: with an approach to politics that “joins imaginative policy ideas with a keen instinct for mass communication and a willingness to negotiate.”

Vox does an excellent job outlining just how Warren set up the CFPB and why it was so critical.

No other candidate aside from Warren understands the need for a new business plan for the country at its core, and not just provide band-aids and government programs or handouts, least of all because she lived poverty and single parenting upfront and personal.

It is rare that to have a leader and politician who will not only understand the briefs she is given but probably had a hand in writing them or in the research that underlies today’s policy experts.

For the moderates: She’s not out for your money

We do not need a watered-down Obama 3.0. Warren is not what so many Biden supporters fear: a democratic socialist. In a nutshell, her tax plan for the wealthy is: a 2 percent levy on assets more than $50 million, and higher rates on billionaires. Warren is merely saying that the tax system as it now stands benefits the 1% and many in the 1% endorse that they need to pay their fair share. That alone could provide the funding needed for programs such as greater healthcare coverage and student loan debt forgiveness.

Since when did Americans like to be taken for a ride? We are the kings of wanting everything to be fair! In sports like deflate-gate. In “American Idol.” We love underdogs and second acts, Robert Downey Jr!

So how is it we stand for the fact that Amazon paid $1 in taxes? Then gripe we don’t have money to pay teachers and fund schools? The richest 10% of U.S. households represent 70% of all U.S. wealth in 2018, according to a recent study by researchers at the Federal Reserve. How is it that as we watch our paychecks shrink and pay our fair share, more than our share as per statistics, while the 1% saw their fortunes increase from 23% to 32% in 2018? Home ownership is at its lowest since the 1960s; income is falling as the number of jobs Americans must work increase as wealth is consolidated into fewer hands.

Evening the playing field is not radical or progressive. It is 100% American.

For the Progressives: Visions need execution

If Warren and Bernie Sanders share a similar vision to restructure our economy, why Warren? For one, she can execute and two, the woman’s been obsessed. Her entire career has been fighting corruption through an obsessive analysis of power, taxation, systems, and the forces that keep the status quo. That’s why Wall Street, Silicon Valley, and Big Business are frightened. Warren gets it. And has successfully fought them and won.

Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., greet each other before the first of two Democratic presidential primary debates hosted by CNN, July 30, 2019, in the Fox Theatre in Detroit. (AP Photo/Paul Sancya)

Visions are great. They will all be modulated by legislation regardless. So, what makes the great stand out? Execution.

As a lifelong social justice activist who has studied movements, from the Civil Rights movement to the suffragists and others, the one thing to be gleaned from all of this is that everything which was a win was planned. Behind every vision coming to life is hard work and a strategy executed by a team. There had been other people to board the bus before Rosa Parks. She was not a happy accident.

If you were hiring for a senior-most position in a company, would you want to take someone on who has knowledge of the policies and politics that underlie the job at hand, has the allies and know-how to navigate politics, and the experience to show all of that or a person who talks the same talk but has nothing to show for it?

That may sound harsh towards Sanders yet the proof is in their history. Sanders as per the nonprofit watchdog on politicians, has served over 30 years yet has one major bill to show for it, has the fewest co-sponsored bills (1) and was an Independent until political expediency made him a Democrat. That’s fine however what that shows is an inability to compromise or negotiate, especially with Congress, and it doesn’t do is give you any allies. Warren started a brand new, highly controversial regulatory agency with a Republican Congress to protect consumers while she was a university professor.

As economist Dean Bakers said, “Warren was able to navigate around the opposition from some Democrats and from the Republican Congress to get the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau created, and to ensure that it would have real power to protect people from the financial industry.”

As Iowa’s largest newspaper, The Des Moines Register said when they endorsed her, “she is not radical. She is right.”

She will be a social justice President

Mass shootings are weekly in America. Warren wants to reduce gun deaths by 80% with reforms that a majority of this country already support.

Warren is the candidate for LGBTQ by far, the only candidate to consistently poll in double digits.

She has an ally in Julian Castro and even earlier made it clear she will make unifying families and addressing the abuse that has led to family separations.

She talks about women’s issues that other candidates do not. For too long, more than half the population must suffer through horrific statistics like 1 in 3 girls will be sexually assaulted by 18. Maternal deaths in the US are rising. With the Trump administration, the overt sexism has reached all the way to the Supreme Court.

She deftly addresses major issues like “electability,” the silencing of women (“she persists!”), domestic violence (“you are not alone”), and reproductive rights (“abortion rights are human rights”). She reflects a nuanced understanding of the range of issues all women must face, like childcare citing her own aunt’s assistance when she was working as a single mother.  

She’s a woman, mother, and progressive–and that matters.

It does make a difference when a woman is in charge—the right woman. Warren is that right woman out of the candidates. She’s the first to go to college in her lower-income Oklahoma family; a single mother for a time who credits her aunt’s childcare support as being critical to her success. As Justice Sotomayer said: it may not define you but it influences you. Ethnic identity like gender identity impacts how you see the world. Warren’s campaign is offering childcare on caucus night. Childcare wouldn’t be on the radar for most men—unless you’ve been a mother, and a single mother like Warren had once been.

Childcare costs have soared. So many parents have to choose to stay at home and have one paycheck or drop off kids at suspect but affordable care. With a widening income gap, that leaves millions of kids already behind their more well off peers. Warren has been doing this on her campaign trail to show she’s committed to this cause in practice as a candidate and it’s not just an off the cuff campaign promise.

Warren’s campaign introduced a universal childcare plan last February, along with a calculator that allowed voters to see how much they would save if the program were enacted. Warren has said she wants to use a “wealth tax” to fund subsidies that would cover the entire cost of child care for families who make below 200% of federal poverty-level income (about $51,200 for a family of four). The proposal would also pay for care for families who earn more, capping the cost at 7% of a family’s income.

“The difficulty of accessing affordable and high-quality child care puts parents in a bind — forcing them to choose between breaking the budget, cutting back work hours, or settling for lower-quality care,” Warren wrote in a Medium post.

The countries right now with the most systemic humane and progressive policies from climate change to education to immigration are led by women: Germany, Finland, New Zealand, Iceland. (While we here don’t even believe women can lead as per half the country.) Such a long way to go—but this is the year we can do it.

On the pulse of the times

This is not the Obama years or 2016. MeToo, Time’s Up, climate change, mass shootings, trans rights and pronouns and gender fluidity– our world is changing and needs a cohesive approach to its solutions. Warren always has been and is intersectional. When speaking about gender violence, she mentions trans violence. When speaking about wage gaps, she reminds the public that black and Latina women face an even greater gap than their white counterparts. Black women are heard even less than white mothers when it comes to prenatal care.

As we bury black young adults, children in mass shootings, a migrant child, or another woman who has died from childbirth, we must remember social justice is not a nice-to-have. It’s a necessity for a progressive society and it’s time we had a President that embraced and will champion such reforms. Warren is the leader we need.

For the country: a reset

Warren’s first priority taking office: an anti-corruption package. Why? Because this country has been besieged by corruption from Trump’s Day 1. And given the lawsuit of him funneling funds from his inaugural committee to private family benefits, it’s even before his first day in office.

Melania, Ivanka, Eric and Donald Trump Jr. in St. Louis, Missouri, on Oct. 9, 2016.

The Trump Organization has been involved with over 19 conflicts of interests, securing business deals using the Presidency, using the Presidency to secure access and meetings for money — for starters.

More importantly than bringing justice to Trump is healing the country and regaining public trust. Before we can forward any progressive policy, like healthcare for all, we need to have a public that trusts governance again otherwise they will not back any plan if it doesn’t believe in the executors of that plan and who better than Warren, someone who has emerged a consistent winner against corruption?

Three Warren-aligned groups—the Progressive Change Campaign Committeethe Working Families Party, and Black Womxn For—of a list of more than 3,000 progressive elected officials, economists, and activists all end on one note: her temperament, her experience, her plans, her vision and most of all who she is and what she represents is what this fractured country needs in response to the ignorance, sexism, and xenophobia of the Trump administration.

Personally, I can attest that she is inspiring and elicits loyalty and kind words on her authenticity from staff and supporters I rarely encounter.

She calmly talks to a protester angry about her opposition to a war with Iran and to a father angry at her for her school loan debt forgiveness plan because he had to pay for his daughter’s tuition. (Her response was spot-on: a lot of things didn’t exist for a lot of people, say colored, queer girls for instance, that exist today. Doesn’t mean everyone in that boat going forward should get screwed.)

You can imagine Obama responding as calmly as she did. You can’t imagine Biden or Sanders. That matters. In these contentious political times when the leader of this country would threaten civilians, mocks them, or turns them over to angry, violent crowds, empathy and calm matter.

The leader in LGBTQ rights

Who supports you matters.

No need to foment discord but suffice to say we’ve already had toxic supporters of a male cult personality with questionable, or no support or endorsements of progressive and powerful organizations. Rather than go into that, there’s a long list of impressive endorsements that reflect who Warren is and what she stands for.

Warren has the most comprehensive platform dedicated to the protection of LGBTQI rights . She has been supported by the Human Rights Campaign – the nation’s largest lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender (LGBT) civil rights organization; by Out, Advocate; by Black Womxn For, a collective of black women and gender-nonconforming organizer.

We can’t afford to be moderate.

Right now, America is not where it was in 2016. That could be a good thing. There are more women and diverse Congressional members than ever before. The sexism and racism that pervaded society can no longer be hushed away. The ugly can come out but so can the forces against it. As the founder of a civics nonprofit, civic engagement can only be a good thing. Democracy dies in the darkness.

However: America is not where it was in 2016.

  • There have been significant civil and human rights rollbacks from the Muslim ban to a 216% increase in hate crimes to a UN human rights crisis at the border with family separation and unhygienic, inhumane jail-like conditions for asylum seekers.
  • Workers’ rights have been slashed from a higher threshold for overtime-eligible pay to a 2020 budget proposal with significant cuts for Medicare, Social Security, and SNAP.
  • 95 environmental deregulations through reversals, cutbacks, and rollbacks, including the biggest setback to the Clean Water Act since it was passed in 1972. This allows industries to do as they wish, including infesting our drinking water. This fattens the pockets of corporations at the expense of public health.

What Warrens will bring is not a moderate or progressive or Democrat presidency. She offers what Vox called a transformative presidency.

We don’t need bandaids. We need transformation.

Is your 2020 Presidential candidate good enough?

Is your 2020 Presidential candidate good enough?

It can get confusing at times whether or not a candidate is for you or not. There had been a Washington Post quiz going around to see which candidate you’re most aligned with, like an e-harmony between voter and candidate. This isn’t that.

Here’s a simple list of how to judge candidates given who has been President since 2016.

If any candidate passes the muster then remember to vote even if it’s not your absolute favorite person! If treason, corruption, and erratic behavior that endangers national security is A-OK with you — as is possibly sending off your young adult to war and ensuring you never have social mobility as you wait for billionaires good fortune to trickle down not to mention living with sticky moral issues like children in cages torn from their families — then, by all means, vote for that candidate or don’t vote at all!
  1. The Mueller Report makes it clear that: i.) the Russian government tried to help Trump win; ii.) the Trump campaign was eager to benefit from hackings targeting Democrats; and iii.) Trump’s campaign advisers had a lot of troubling ties to Russia.
  2. See all articles and news clips dealing with “Trump Impeachment.” At televisions near you.
  3. Trump paid a $2 million settlement to 8 charities admitting that he misused funds from Trump Foundation for his campaign and settle business debts.
  4. 25 cases of sexual assault and harassment and counting.
  5. Trump faced two lawsuits in California and one in New York against fraud allegations that were wrapped into one civil suit against Trump University. A federal court approved a $25 million settlement with students who said they were duped by Trump and his now-defunct Trump University.
  6. a) The US Department of Justice under the Nixon administration sued the Trump Management Corporation for violating the Fair Housing Act. Federal officials found evidence that Trump had refused to rent to black tenants and lied to black applicants about whether apartments were available, among other accusations. He signed an agreement in 1975 agreeing not to discriminate to renters of color. There’s a lot more where that came from! Here’s a full timeline.
    b) Senior advisor to Trump and former White House chief strategist Steve Bannon on Saturday told a crowd of far-right French politicians to let people label them as “racist,” and to consider it “a badge of honor.” Bannon was the founder and once executive editor of Breitbart News, which he “proudly” told a Mother Jones reporter at the 2016 Republican National Convention is “platform for the alt right,” referring to Breitbart News. The alt right is a loose network of individuals and groups that promote white identity and reject mainstream conservatism in favor of politics that embrace implicit or explicit racism, anti-Semitism and white supremacy. Bannon was only let go by Trump due to seemingly disparaging remarks he made in a book about Trump and his family.
    c) Stephen Miller is a Trump senior adviser and architect of Trump’s anti-immigrant agenda as well as a far-right political activist. In November 2019, over 900 emails were made public that reveal him to be a supporter of white nationalism. 59 civil rights groups cited Miller as a promoter of “white supremacy, violent extremism, and hate,” and demanded Trump fire him. Given the revolving door of his staff and inner circle, this should’ve been easy. Miller has yet to be fired.

I mean, how important is it to vote? It’s not like you’re marrying the person. That person will only be in charge of your health, like whether you die from diabetes or can afford insulin or are ever able to see a doctor or go broke trying to; if you can ever afford a home or watch as Jeff Bezos buys his tenth home paying a $1 in taxes as you fork over half your paycheck; whether you have clean water or fresh air to breathe; if your children can get a fighting chance in this world with a good education (if they aren’t traumatized due to school shootings or chronically ill due to an inability to pay for health insurance); and whether we are embroiled in a world war. So it’s not to the level of marriage but it does bear some importance.

Stop saying Trump will win

Stop Saying Trump Will Win

An admirable quality of Trump supporters and enablers is their unflagging faith, whether due to fear, ignorance, or bullying, there is a resoluteness that Democrats lack. The sky can be blue, and yet if Trump says it’s green, so say they. What I am hearing as of December 2019, before even the primaries kick-off is a “woe-is-me” cry that Trump will win. “I don’t want him to but…”

But what? It is entirely within your control. The outcome may not be but let’s not forget three very important factors:

1. It’s not over until it’s over. Just ask Al Gore. Politics is an endurance game and you have to be like Serena Williams fighting down to the last point of the last game in the last set.

Image result for venus williams tennis playing to the last point

Part of me wants to scream and curse because WHY? There’s no hard data that he’ll win. It seems so obvious that if you are so against something then why believe something that will make it come true? Up until a month, even two weeks before the election, Hillary Clinton seemed a “shoo-in” even by the Trump campaign internally.

There will always be doubt as to an outcome, so fight to the tooth for the candidate you believe in — or do your values mean so little? Does a candidate have to razzle and dazzle with oratory flair in order for there to be groundswell of support? Doubts weaken your candidate. In either case:

Stop Saying He’ll Win.

2. In February 2017, Ezra Klein wrote the “real reason” Hillary Clinton lost which applies today. She lost due to us. Put aside the numbers and Wikileaks and emails and Russia. Swing states, electoral votes, and scandals aside, Trump was Trump. The candidate who said that the Mexicans are rapists, made fun of the disabled, was heard saying “grab’em by the pussy,” rife with sexual assault allegations and corruption lawsuits, links to white supremacists on his team, riddled Russia and mafia ties, and with zero qualifications (almost as an aside). None of that was fake news. He said it. There’s footage. We all heard all of the above. And half of us didn’t. And he won.

Republicans aside, it’s not that Clinton lost due to a narrow margin that should give us pause. It’s that Trump won due to a narrow margin.

Much of that was due to half the country not voting. Nonchalance. The kind of thinking then fueled by “she’ll win but I don’t like her for some vague reason,” that pervades to this day.

Whether sexism is involved or not (it is as polls and data show but that aside), that senseless purity for candidates had once been fueled by “I don’t like her” to now “I don’t want Trump to win, but I don’t like any of the others. No one can win.”

Well, progressives and any champion of sanity, due to that thinking in 2016 we not only threw the baby out with the bathwater but we burned the house down. If we still insist on having “tests,” here’s a list of qualities candidates to judge candidates by since 2016 , ex. have any of the other candidates been found guilty of less than 3 corruption cases? DING! Better than Trump! Less than 25 sexual assault cases? DING! Whiffs of treason? DING! White supremacist ties? DING!

If anyone you like has any of those qualities, then Stop Saying Trump Will Win.

3. Even if Trump is in the lead: what will you do to stop it?

Here’s a guide as to what you can do to be proactive in getting a Democrat elected. Think what you will of Dems, but as our current 2020 party system stands, it will either be a Republican or Democrat as a winner so given all you know of Trump and the GOP, if they don’t sit well, then do what you can. This guide shows you how and what with links, everything from how to submit a vote to actively campaigning, there’s a wealth of options to choose from based on your resources, time, and level of involvement. Choose ONE.

And Stop Saying He’ll Win.

4. Politics is a number game: voters, electoral votes, gerrymandering, districting. I’ve outlined this in another post but this ties into “it’s not over until it’s over.”

Rail against the electoral college all you want but it’s here for 2020. Nothing at the systemic level, like the electoral college, will change unless we have the right judgeships which can only happen if they are appointed, which takes a steady stream of progressives in the Executive and Congressional branches. Why do you think Mitch McConnell is so focused on judgeships? Voter suppression, gerrymandering, the electoral college have all worked in the GOP favor so they won’t make any changes.

To make any of that happen, we need the votes. For the votes, we need voter turnout. For voter turnout, we have to fight for every vote — at the mass media, social media, mailbox, door knock, phone call levels.

And we have to Stop Saying He’ll Win.

5. The data does not support that Trump is a shoo-in winner. Not only do I firsthand speak to thousands of voters and know it not to be true from my slice of life but national and state polls do not bear this up. By the way, merely three weeks prior to the 2016 election, Trump’s own team told him that he had a 15% chance of winning based on polls. It’s not over until it’s over.

More importantly, we need to go forward with steadfast resolution. What has happened — whether it’s climate change, the environmental policy deregulation, the corruption, the inhumane immigration policies — pick one that most resonates and fight for it.

I don’t believe much of this country is Trumpland. I don’t believe most of this country is seething with racism and predators. I believe any country can bring out its ugly with the right cocktail at the top and we now have that cocktail of hate and vitriol, shaken not stirred. Don’t drink it.

Go into this election year holding your values close and speaking out loud for those values with the confidence of a rich, white man or Lizzo.

And stop saying he’ll win.